The Haze Outlook report for 2024 provides a reassuring assessment of the likelihood of a transboundary haze incident occurring this year.
Images: Singapore Institute of International Affairs, AP/RFA
The risk rating is Green on a scale of Green, Amber, and Red, indicating a low chance of haze during the peak fire danger months of September to October 2024. This positive outlook reflects the significant improvements in the haze situation over recent years.
Screengrab: Singapore Institute of International Affairs
Since the major haze event of 2015, shortly after President Joko Widodo took office in Indonesia, there has been a noticeable decline in the severity of haze incidents. The less severe haze of 2019 and the much more muted haze in 2023 highlight the effectiveness of fire management and ecosystem restoration efforts implemented by the Jokowi administration.
Indonesian President-elect Prabowo has committed to continuing his predecessor’s flagship sustainability policies when he takes office in October. The success of these efforts will largely depend on the new administration's ability to advance the country's green growth agenda.
Additionally, respite from unhealthy air quality is expected as the La Niña climate phenomenon is predicted to return later in 2024, bringing increased rainfall and reducing the risk of fires and haze.
Despite the optimistic outlook, it is still wise to keep a few N95 masks and air filters on hand as a precaution. This readiness ensures that individuals are prepared should any unforeseen changes in the haze situation occur.
Find out more about the Haze Outlook Report prepared by the Singapore Institute of International Affairs here!